Thursday, June 30, 2011

Preliminary Census Reports makes interesting reading

The publication today of preliminary reports from the 2011 census provide some interesting statistics for county Donegal

The figure show for instance that the county’s population in 2011 stands at 160,927 – showing an increase of 13,663 or 9.3% on the 2006 census figure of 147,264.

Of that figure 80,411 are male, compared to 80,516 females.

Since 2006 the key changes in population in Donegal show 6,441 more males, 7,222 more females in the county as a whole.

One of the big questions after the numbers are crunched will focus on whether or not the county will continue to have six TDs when electoral reform measures are put in place.

One of the country’s top analysts Adrian Kavanagh, a lecturer in the Geography Department at NUI Maynooth has already tweeted that Donegal NE and SW are both too small now to remain as 3-seaters, but too large to become separate 5-seater, could be tricky

No doubt the number crunchers will be hard at work over the next few days on what this means for the country, and indeed perhaps for individual counties.

In the meantime I have included some of the key figures pertaining to Co Donegal in the tables below and all the figures can be found on www.cso.ie






Wednesday, June 8, 2011

Can 'We the Citizens' deliver in the end?


One of the last speakers at the We the Citizens event in Letterkenny suggested to the Chairperson Fiach Mac Conghail that he is now part of the system that people abhor, having accepted a nomination from An Taoiseach Enda Kenny to take a seat in the Seanad.

It was a comment that resonated some sense, prompted nods of agreement and in some ways helped make sense of the growing uncertainty I was having about this whole process.

When We the Citizens was first mooted I thought it a tremendous idea. I was delighted there was an event in Letterkenny and I promptly registered online for the event.

But that was then. Weeks later and having followed reports from some of the events around the country, I was less sure about whether or not any of this could make a difference at all.

Yet I went. I went out of curiosity and interest. And I went out of hope.

My initial gut feeling on arrival though, was not great.

Many of the ‘familiar faces’ I saw in the room, quite frankly filled me with dread. I tweeted to someone unable to make the event that I feared - if it was not properly moderated - this whole thing could be hijacked.

On that front I didn’t need to worry. The system used for the event, where participants were grouped into tables, each with its own moderator, worked well.

Even things like the paper table-cloths on which a person could scribble notes and comments, or just plain doodle if they were bored, was great.

Our moderator was excellent too. He tried to ensure that those who talked most, well, shut up at times – and those who had said least were invited to chip in with their views.

The open-ended topics thrown out allowed for dialogue and debate, but it was easy to get sucked into a particular subject leaving others barely or sometimes even untouched at all. But, in fairness, we were only there for a few hours, there was no way everything could be discussed.

I enjoyed the exchange of views at the table and wasn’t too surprised that many of the topics we had discussed were raised at other tables and, we were told, had been raised at other We the Citizens events around the country.

The people, it would seem, are more or less on the same page. The politicians however, don’t even seem to be on the same book.

But I also began to wonder if We the Citizens was on the same page as us – the citizens.

I had pondered earlier on whether a trip to this was a necessary journey (they are the only kind I make now when fuel is so costly and money is so tight) and listened at the event to people talking about struggling to pay their mortgages and suffering with depression.

And I found myself wondering how this event now squared with such sentiments as I watched the hi-tech video cameras move around the room, saw the computers at work in the corners and glanced around at the fancy signage.

But I guess I’d have had doubts too if the whole thing had been slap-dash, disorganised, low-tech and low key.

Still, the ‘glam’ of it all sat uneasily with me, and as Fiach Mac Conghail stood on stage for the discussion at the end with his radio microphone on, I couldn’t help but think I had found myself into one of those American-style cult meetings you sometimes see on tv, half expecting him to tell us he had a new gospel to preach, one that would bring us prosperity and happiness.

What he promised us instead was that, the findings from this event would not just go into some report that would lie gathering dust. 

That, following next week’s meeting in Athlone, a national gathering, representative of the people, would be brought together to let our politicians know how the people feel.

And yet, as I left, I kept hearing the the words of one of the speakers from the floor – ‘we’re good at talking about what should be done, we’re just no good at doing it.’

Glad I had attended, I left unsure if this had been little more than a valve to allow some people let off some steam, but thankfully with a glimmer of hope remaining that some good might still come of it all.

Monday, March 28, 2011

On the back burner

With the General Election well and truly over, this blog has been put on the back burner for now. I might add some updates on how the Donegal candidates in the Senate elections get on and perhaps, if time permits will commence updates on local political issues.

In the meantime thanks to all who visited. You can keep tabs on me through my other blog - www.adropofporter.blogspot.com

Or you can follow me on Twitter       @LiamPort

Cheers

- Liam

Monday, February 28, 2011

New look for Donegal County Council

Donegal County Council meets today in Lifford but there will be three notable absentees following the election to the Dáil at the weekend of councillors Thomas Pringle, Padraig MacLochlainn and Charlie McConalogue.

As the county’s three new TDs prepare to take their seats in the 31st Dáil, speculation will now turn to who their replacements will be in the council chamber in Lifford – and there’s might not be the only seats to fill.

There were some suggestions at Saturday’s count that Labour’s Jimmy Harte will be encouraged to seek a Senate seat following his strong showing in Donegal North East, with some speculation that Labour could seek some of the Taoiseach’s Senate nominations as part of any coalition deal.

Whether Enda Kenny would like to grant a nominated seat to a candidate who left Fine Gael in a high-profile split though remains to be seen and it is more likely that he would reward long-serving councillor Bernard McGuinness if a Senate nomination were to come to Donegal.

Of course it remains a possibility that councillor Harte could seek election to the Senate and councillor McGuinness could still receive a nominated post – leaving two more seats to fill on the council.

It will be interesting as well to see who the parties choose to fill the vacant seats. Fianna Fáil’s Paul Canning was pipped at the end in the last local elections in Inishowen when Labour’s Martin Farren – but he is based in Newtowncunningham in South Inishowen and Charlie McConalogue is based in the north of the peninsula.

Sinn Féin could also choose to nominate Padraig MacLochlainn’s running-mate from the last election – Sean Ruddy – but may also look to former Buncrana Town councillor Daren Lalor or former Buncrana candidate Ciaran McGuinness. And of course they could bring two new faces to politics in Donegal by choosing different people for MacLochlainn's seats on Donegal County Council and Buncrana Town Council.

Padraig MacLochlainn celebrating with supporters
 at the count in Letterkenny on Saturday.
Speculation will now turn to who gets his seats on
Donegal Town Council and Buncrana Town Council.

Independent Thomas Pringle has already nominated his director of elections, John Campbell to take his place on the council, but with the possibility of as many as five seats to fill, some attention will surely focus on whether seats of democratically elected candidates should be filled by co-option instead of election.

Meanwhile there is every possibility that there will be more Donegal candidates still in election races in the weeks ahead with Brian O’Domhnaill most likely to seek re-election to the Senate.

The question remains though if he’ll be joined in a Senate race by Mary Coughlan or former Senator Cecilia Keaveney.

Sunday, February 27, 2011

Who gained most from FF slump in Donegal?


While at first glance it could appear as if Sinn Féin benefitted most from the dramatic slump in support for Fianna Fáil in Donegal, the figures would indicate that all the other main parties in the county improved on their showing in 2007 and with Thomas Pringle taking a seat in Donegal SW, perhaps it was the independents who gained most of all.



Both Pearse Doherty in Donegal SW and Padraig MacLochlainn in Donegal NE came extremely close to taking a seat in the 2007 General Election and certainly the Fianna Fáil slump helped them as they both topped the poll and took seats for Sinn Féin.

But there were improvements for Fine Gael too despite what many considered was the risky strategy of running two candidates in Donegal North East.

In fact John Ryan polled remarkably well for Fine Gael with 4,657 first preferences and for a while was being suggested by some as an outside bet to take a second seat for FG in Donegal North East.

As it turned out the improved performance in terms of votes still brought Fine Gael just two seats – one in each constituency returning the two sitting TDs Dinny McGinley and Joe McHugh - but they will be more than happy with their showing.

Labour meanwhile are likely to be disappointed, despite making significant gains on their showing last time out.

While Frank McBrearty saw his vote slip back from his recent by-election outing, his total of first preferences was still higher than the 2007 performance of Seamus Rodgers who polled just 1,111 first preferences.

Jimmy Harte meanwhile was in the battle for a seat until the death in Donegal North East, but just couldn’t make up the ground against Fianna Fail’s Charlie McConalogue. Harte’s showing was way better than the performance of Siobhan McLaughlin in 07 for Labour, and indeed on his own showing at that time when he ran as an independent.

It is believed that Harte might have fared better had there not been so many independents in the field with the 1,876 votes garnered in particular by Letterkenny-based candidate Dessie Shiels believed to have scuppered his chances.

In Donegal SW however it was all about the independents as Thomas Pringle provided one of the biggest upsets of the entire election by unseating Mary Coughlan and taking the third seat.

The county councillor had declared after the recent by-election that judging on his showing there he felt he could take Mary Coughlan’s seat and he was proved right.

His remarkable 5,845 first preferences was more than the combined vote of the four independents who had contested the election in 2007 in both constituencies in Donegal.

Between them Jimmy Harte (then an independent), Ian McGarvey, Arthur McGuinness (all in Donegal NE) and John Doherty in Donegal SW took only 2,553 votes.

In contrast – helped greatly by Thomas Pringle’s massive first preferences - the eight independent candidates in Donegal between them this time took a whopping 13,675 first preferences, a signal perhaps of a protest vote against the government, but no doubt Labour at least will think, ironically allowing Fianna Fáil to nip in and take a seat after all.

Dramatic slump in Fianna Fáil vote in Donegal

As the dust settles in the wake of yesterday’s historic events in Donegal, much of the focus will centre on the Fianna Fáil slump and the fact that Tánaiste Mary Coughlan became one of the most high-profile casualties of the election.


On examination it is clear that the decision to field two candidates in Donegal South West certainly hampered any hopes Fianna Fáil had of taking a seat there, while the decision not to add a second candidate in Donegal North East appears justified with the election of Charlie McConalogue.

But there can be no doubt about the extent of the slump in support. In 2007 the two candidates in Donegal South-West – Mary Coughlan and Pat the Cope Gallagher – took more votes between them (20,136) than the entire vote across Donegal this time around (16,358).

Elected with a surplus on the first count in 2007, Mary Coughlan had 10,530 first preferences then compared to the 4,956 she took this time around.

And her running mate Brian O’Domhnaill fared equally dismally taking 4,789 first preferences this time compared to the 9,606 that saw Pat the Cope Gallagher elected with ease on the second count in 2007.

In Donegal North East there was also a huge slump in Fianna Fáil support, but there the single candidate strategy paid off when Charlie McConalogue pipped Jimmy Harte for the last seat without reaching the quota.

However when it is considered that Fianna Fáil had two TDs elected in Donegal North East last time and effectively three the time before that (when Niall Blaney was IFF) the shift in the power base is evident even in Donegal North East.

Last time out Fianna Fáil ran three candidates in Donegal North East – Jimmy McDaid, Niall Blaney and Cecilia Keaveney – and between them polled 19,374 first preferences.

In contrast the single Fianna Fáil candidate Charlie McConalogue took just 6,613 first preference votes this time in Donegal North East and while it was enough to see him elected, there were already concerns being expressed yesterday about the consequences such a dramatic slump could have for the next local elections – particularly in the Letterkenny and Milford electoral areas.

In terms of the numbers Fianna Fáil took 39,510 first preferences in Donegal in 2007, compared to 16,358 first preferences in both constituencies in 2011.

Donegal SW Tally Figures Box by Box

Haven't yet managed to get my hands on the Excel file of the tally figures from Donegal Sw so here is a pic of the figures taken from today's Donegal on Sunday newspaper which has excellent coverage of the counts in both Donegal constituencies.